ZCZC SPCFWDD38 ALL
   FNUS28 KWNS 022133

   Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0433 PM CDT Thu May 02 2024

   Valid 041200Z - 101200Z

   Relatively benign fire weather conditions are expected over the
   weekend. However, by the end of the weekend and into early next week
   a strong trough is expected to develop across the western CONUS with
   strong mid-level flow across the Southwest and lee cyclogenesis in
   the Plains. This will result in several days of severe weather
   concern across portions of the southern High Plains.

   ...D4/Sun-D7/Wed - Southern High Plains...
   Operational and ensemble guidance has come into agreement for
   several days of strong mid-level flow across the Southwest and a
   large lee cyclone in the central/northern Plains. This pattern will
   support several days of Critical fire weather conditions. Some dry
   and breezy conditions may begin as early as Sunday afternoon as
   stronger mid-level flow emerges across New Mexico ahead of the
   approaching mid-level trough. The strongest winds are likely on
   Monday and Tuesday when sustained winds over 30 mph and relative
   humidity in the single digits appears likely. At this time it
   appears Wednesday should be the last day of significant fire weather
   concern as confidence is growing for a strong cold front to surge
   south across the Plains and bring cooler weather toward the end of
   next week.

   ..Bentley.. 05/02/2024

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...

   $$

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