Storm Prediction Center Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Created: Fri May 17 18:05:04 UTC 2024 ( | )
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Click for Day 2 FireWX Areal Outline Product (KWNSPFWFD2)
ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL FNUS22 KWNS 171803 Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0103 PM CDT Fri May 17 2024 Valid 181200Z - 191200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... The previous forecast remains on track. Breezy westerlies over the northern Rockies and Plains are expected Saturday, but fuel states and marginal RH will keep fire spread potential relatively low there. It still appears some localized elevated to critical conditions may develop across the southern FL peninsula. However, the area of concern remains too small to warrant an Elevated highlight. ..Barnes/Weinman.. 05/17/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0122 AM CDT Fri May 17 2024/ ...Synopsis... During the day Saturday, more zonal mid-level flow is expected to develop across the western CONUS as the trough over the northern Plains moves into Canada and ridging starts to build across the central CONUS. Some dry and breezy conditions are possible in areas with a deeply mixed airmass below the stronger mid-level flow across the northern Rockies. However, fuels are moist and not favorable for large fire spread. Farther south where fuels are dry (Southwest into the southern High Plains), winds should be mostly light. Therefore, despite single-digit relative humidity, overall fire weather concerns remain low. Some dry and breezy conditions are possible in the Florida Peninsula on Saturday with winds of 15 to 20 mph and relative humidity of 30 to 40 percent. Fuels appear most favorable south of Lake Okeechobee, while the dry/breezy conditions will mostly be north of there. Since there is minimal overlap of the dry fuels and the worst conditions, no Elevated delineation has been highlighted at this time. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...